Security Intelligence & Analysis Service

The beginning of the Olympic torch relay in Brasilia on Tuesday marked the arrival of the Olympic Games to Brazil. Given the current political, security and economic risks in the country, Risk Advisory’s clients have expressed significant interest in Rio’s preparations for the Games, early warning signs for crisis planning and threat assessments for staff and other personnel in Rio during the event, which runs from 5 to 21 August.

Brazil has changed significantly in the two years since it hosted the 2014 FIFA World Cup. It is suffering its worst economic recession in decades. And it is experiencing severe political and societal polarisation amid an ongoing impeachment process against President Dilma Rousseff over systematic corruption at the state-owned oil company, Petrobras. The country is also still suffering from a widespread outbreak of Zika virus, the full health effects and wider ramifications of which are still not fully understood.

Holding a global event in a single city poses a different set of logistical and security challenges for organisers and attendees compared with those faced during the World Cup, which was spread across 12 cities.

To inform security and crisis management planning, in the run-up to the Games Risk Advisory’s Security Intelligence & Analysis Service (SIAS) will issue a series of focused reports on a full range of security, crisis and logistical risks that businesses with personnel assets and interests in Rio during the Olympics are liable to face. These will include assessments on:

  • Terrorist threat and preparedness

  • Criminal tactics and the threat from organised and serious crime

  • Civil unrest and activism

  • Health and emergency response infrastructure and preparedness

  • Logistics and transportation preparedness and resilience

  • Kidnap threats, including hotspots and tactics

As part of this process, we will include mapping, intelligence estimates on most probable scenarios, early warning indicators to watch for phased crisis management and security response, as well benchmarking information on what kind of measures businesses are taking.

During the games in August, the Risk Advisory SIAS team will also provide intensive monitoring coverage of these risks with a Rio Olympics Monitor product. This will provide clients with reports and assessments on developments that would have a likely impact on their operations and personnel during the event.

These will include open-source warnings on plans for protests, potential impacts on transportation and movement, and other safety, security and logistical concerns. It will also provide analysis of political and other developments and how they may affect local security conditions.

Risk Advisory will host a breakfast briefing and roundtable for SIAS clients in our London office in early June, at which we will present an overview of the risk climate ahead of the Games, our assessment of the ongoing political situation, and what this means for Brazil’s political outlook. We will also host a separate webinar in the same format at such a time that participants in the Americas can also attend.

Our Latin America desk will be available to address client queries or concerns on a one-to-one basis in the lead-up to and during the Olympics on the telephone or by email. As ever, we encourage SIAS clients to play an active role in our intelligence cycle, and invite readers to shape our coverage where possible.

If you would like to find out more about SIAS and how security and crisis management teams in leading global organizations use SIAS to help protect and deliver value to their organisations, please contact us at editor@riskadvisory.net

Image: PA